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The butterfly effect

The flapping of a single butterfly's wing today produces a tiny change in the state of the atmosphere. Over a period of time, what the atmosphere actually does diverges from what it would have done. So, in a month's time, a tornado that would have devastated the Indonesian coast doesn't happen. Or maybe one that wasn't going to happen, does.“— Chaos theory

How does this sound? Not really easy to believe at a first reading….. But I’m convinced just a small change in the initial conditions can drastically change the long-term behavior of a system. God does play dice!!!

long time since i could cajole myself into writing in here. Life has been a roller-coaster ride the past month. There were days when i felt i was on top of the world with everything under control and life moving along at a nice little beat. Now, its time for days to believe and hope this is the lowest i get to fall.

Tasted my first coffee today at Tarams. it was a new kinda feeling goin with a group of friends at six in the morning to tarams and tasting my first coffee and a puff. Friends. The greatest achievement i can boast of.

I hate this time of the year. The time when i need to be giving the bigget tests of the semester. This semester has been particularly bad.Ended up getting raped in the B-Slot end sem even after studying for it the whole night. This is the closest I’ve come to getting a cup and I can now only hope it is close but not really one.

I had dreams. Grand dreams of huge dams built by me. Grand dreams of wonderful bridges built by me. Grand dreams of wonderful skyscrapers, tunnels , workshops .. all built by me.All of them, wonderful solutions conceived by me. The grandest dream that I could be doing all this as a civil engineer from IITM. I have since woken up to face the stark naked reality staring in my face. I cant be an engineer of the kind i dreamt of . Atleast not here. I had dreamt of ingenious solutions flowing from my head. But no. The system kills the genius.

But then, the system works for some . Everyone is not effected by the system as I am. There ARE successful people around. The same system that works for them doesnt work for me. The system has rules. the system demands compliance to the rules. Most successful people go along with the system,bend themselves to the systems needs and end up trumps. There are people who bend the system to their needs and taste success.

Do I sound like Howard Roark?

Talking of Howard Roark, Reva in Ram Gopal Varma’s “Naach” is such a poor take off on Howard Roark. Ramu starts off well by drawing sharp contrasts between the two lead characters a la the Fountainhead. When someone is trying to base a character on some character as popular and as different as Howard Roark’s, he needs to be careful not to dilute it in the process. Ramu fails. I shall remember this film for a long time for two reasons— Antra Mali’s skin show and the injustice to Howard Roark. Hope Ramu’s “Sarkar” doesnt spoil the grace of “Godfather“.

Discussion

7 comments for “The butterfly effect”

  1. God’s playing dice explaining the butterly effect! How idiotic! The butterly effect doesn’t really concern itself with indeterminacy (which is the point in Einstein’s quote), a quantum mechanical concept.

    Posted by Ashok | January 5, 2005, 11:16 AM
  2. @ Ashok.

    You had better not step out of the confines of Fowler’s worship onto scientific concepts. Einstein’s comment “God doesnt play dice” is not a totally related to quantum mechanical concepts. Though, permit me to say, whatever happens at the quantum mechanical level is what happens in the world we can perceive. Einstein’s comments related directly to the Heisenberg’s Uncertainty principle, but the comment
    ( as Prof. Stephen Hawking explains it) goes to show that Einstein seemed to have felt that the uncertainty was only provisional: but that there was an underlying reality, in which particles would have well defined positions and speeds, and would evolve according to deterministic laws.
    The chaos theory a.k.a the butterfly effect practically means that the world around us is actually indeterminate. That the future CANNOT be fully determined.
    For further professional insights into the relation, you may do well to read “Does God Play Dice?: The
    Mathematics of Chaos” by Ian Stewart

    Posted by Myndfcukd | January 5, 2005, 12:01 PM
  3. Einstein’s comment questions the probabilistic nature of quantum theory. This theory, pertains to events involving atoms and particles smaller than atoms, events such as collisions or the emission of radiation. In all these situations the theory is able to tell what will probably happen and not what will certainly happen. It is important to note that Einstein was not questioning the use of probabilities in quantum theory (as a measure of temporary ignorance or error), but the implication that the individual microscopic events are themselves indeterminate, unpredictable, random.

    The classical idea of casuality (i.e. the idea that the present state is the effect of an anterior state and cause of the state which is to follow) implies that in order to predict the future we must know the present, with enough precision. But, for quantum events this is impossible in view of Heisenberg’s Uncertainty Principle. It was thought, however, that order reigned at human dimensions, but, in more recent times, with chaos theory and non-linear dynamics, we have got used to the fact that non-predictability is omnipresent in the physical world.

    All these facts have undermined our familiar ideas about space, time, matter, casuality. So, it appears that God plays indeed dice with the physical universe.

    Posted by Myndfcukd | January 5, 2005, 12:17 PM
  4. . . . Einstein’s comment “God doesnt play dice” is not a totally
    related to quantum mechanical concepts. Though, permit me to say,
    whatever happens at the quantum mechanical level is what happens in
    the world we can perceive. Einstein’s comments related directly to the
    Heisenberg’s Uncertainty principle . . .

    > Well, the uncertainty principle is an integral part of quantum mechanics; it most certainly is a quantum mechanical concept. How can the quote relate to as well as not relate to quantum mechanics at the same time?

    > And this is irrelevant: “whatever happens at the quantum mechanical level is what happens in the world we can perceive”

    . . . show that Einstein seemed to have felt that the uncertainty was
    only provisional: but that there was an underlying reality, in which
    particles would have well defined positions and speeds, and would
    evolve according to deterministic laws . . .

    > Exactly. I thought that was the standard interpretation of Einstein’s quote.

    . . . The chaos theory a.k.a the butterfly effect practically means
    that the world around us is actually indeterminate. That the future
    CANNOT be fully determined . . .

    > I’m sorry; your understanding of the basic idea of the theory is incorrect. Chaos refers to the high level of dependence of a system on initial conditions; it does not refer to the uncertainty that quantum mechanics predicts. Chaos says that it is extremely difficult to determine the variables of interest as a function of time (say) not so much because the equations connecting them are difficult to find as because their values at a particular “initial” time are extremely hard to measure. Indeterminate means that which doesn’t have a fixed value to be measured; it means there is nothing to be found. Chaos only says that certain variables are very hard to predict because of the problem in measuring.

    . . . Einstein’s comment questions the probabilistic nature of quantum
    theory. This theory, pertains to events involving atoms and particles
    smaller than atoms, events such as collisions or the emission of
    radiation. In all these situations the theory is able to tell what
    will probably happen and not what will certainly happen. It is
    important to note that Einstein was not questioning the use of
    probabilities in quantum theory (as a measure of temporary ignorance
    or error), but the implication that the individual microscopic events
    are themselves indeterminate, unpredictable, random . . .

    > I know.

    . . . The classical idea of casuality (i.e. the idea that the present
    state is the effect of an anterior state and cause of the state which
    is to follow) implies that in order to predict the future we must know
    the present, with enough precision. But, for quantum events this is
    impossible in view of Heisenberg’s Uncertainty Principle . . .

    > So far so good. Except that quantum mechanics too has this prediction-of-the-future-by-means-of-the-present. Only it asks for the wavefunction and the like, which don’t have direct physical meanings.

    . . . It was thought, however, that order reigned at human dimensions,
    but, in more recent times, with chaos theory and non-linear dynamics,
    we have got used to the fact that non-predictability is omnipresent in
    the physical world . . .

    > Confused ideas. The non-predictability in non-linear dynamics is due to the measuring problem I mentioned (and computational problems?), whereas the quantum unpredictability is due to the inherent uncertainty in the variable, i.e. the classical variables don’t fixed values at a given time; there are only fixed expectation values (rarely, though, the state function of the system will be an eigenfunction of the operator corresponding to the variable of interest, and you’ll have one fixed value).

    > Now I’d like to point out a terrible mistake you’ve made. You misspell causality. So it is very evident that you have no idea where the word came from and possibly what it means. It relates to cause and causal.

    > Overall, you have done an admirable job of mixing irrelevant facts, rambling explanations, and glaring mistakes.

    Posted by Ashok | January 27, 2005, 7:07 AM
  5. @ Ashok. Thanx for your sustained interest in correcting my mistakes(?). I’m sure you would do better to try a study of the chaos theory. The interpretations you called “wrong” are not mine, but of Prof. Stephen Hawking. I’m much more inclined towards believing Hawking’s interpretations than the interpretation of one of my juniors.

    Posted by Myndfcukd | January 29, 2005, 2:31 PM
  6. Wait a minute. You haven’t stated which are Hawking’s opinions (rather convenient I must say). I suspect you copied the interpretation given by him of Einstein’s comment from somewhere and would like everyone to believe that everything you said came from Hawking.

    Posted by Ashok | January 30, 2005, 9:21 AM
  7. hhhhmmm… so in ur opinion how would you explain how connections in the world affect everything in the world, do you
    actually believe that there is a butterfly effect and are world events
    really linkd together

    Posted by JasperAc | February 10, 2009, 5:47 PM

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